Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
Creasey Park Community Football Centre
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.59)
2.02 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.3% | 21.2% | 57.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Aylesbury United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Dunstable | 0 | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 17% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: AFC Dunstable: DDDLLWLD • Aylesbury United: DLWLDWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 43% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Dunstable | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Aylesbury United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Dunstable = 1.06 (league 1.59), Aylesbury United = 2.02 (league 1.48)
| Aylesbury United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Dunstable | 0 | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 57.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1