Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:45 •
Freed Veneers Community Stadium
Expected Goals
4.08 (league 1.59)
0.36 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
best score tips
4 - 0
13.6%
3 - 0
13.4%
5 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marlow | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leighton Town | 0 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leighton Town | Marlow |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 95% | 20% |
| Defense | 75% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leighton Town | Marlow | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 67% | 73% | 40% | 17% | 27% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 67% | 64% |
Form: Leighton Town: WWWDDWWWWWD • Marlow: LWLLLWLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Leighton Town | Marlow | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 18 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leighton Town | Marlow | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 55% | 55% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 27% | 55% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 0% | 9% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leighton Town | Marlow | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leighton Town | Marlow |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leighton Town | Marlow |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-6 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leighton Town | Marlow |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 81.5% | 18.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Leighton Town and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leighton Town = 4.08 (league 1.59), Marlow = 0.36 (league 1.56)
| Marlow | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leighton Town | 0 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.7% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 1.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1