Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 15:00 • Freed Veneers Community Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.75 (league 1.65) 0.41 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.6% 5.1% 1.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.7%
4 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Dunstable
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leighton Town 0 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.9% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.6% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeighton TownAFC Dunstable
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack48%13%
Defense57%48%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leighton Town AFC Dunstable
HATHAT
Played10112191019
Wins80%45%62%11%0%5%
Draws20%36%29%33%20%26%
Loses0%18%10%56%80%68%

Form: Leighton Town: WWWDDWWWWWDDWWWDDWWLL • AFC Dunstable: DDDLLWLDLLLLLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Leighton Town AFC Dunstable
HATHAT
GF total2722497916
GF avg2.72.02.30.80.90.8
GA total71421172340
GA avg0.71.31.01.92.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeighton TownAFC Dunstable
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%62%68%84%
1.548%24%16%68%
2.543%5%0%37%
3.533%5%0%16%
4.514%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeighton TownAFC Dunstable
HATHAT
Clean sheets448213
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricLeighton TownAFC Dunstable
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeighton TownAFC Dunstable
Wins51
Draws23
Losses07

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-61-0—
Biggest losses—5-00-45-2
Goals For6622
Goals Against2545

Model comparison

MetricLeighton TownAFC Dunstable
Form88%13%
Att79%21%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total64.2%36.0%

Advice: Winner : Leighton Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Leighton Town = 3.75 (league 1.65), AFC Dunstable = 0.41 (league 1.52)

AFC Dunstable
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leighton Town 0 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.9% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.6% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.6% · Draw 5.1% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1