Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
The LORDS Builders Merchants Stadium
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.71)
0.92 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9% | 19.1% | 14.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Dunstable | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leverstock Green | 0 | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 46% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| Wins | 18% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Draws | 55% | 46% | 50% | 30% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 27% | 46% | 38% | 60% | 83% | 73% |
Form: Leverstock Green: DLWWLDDDDDLDLDLLDDLDDLWL • AFC Dunstable: DDDLLWLDLLLLLLLDLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 18 | 26 | 44 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 64% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 54% | 18% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 29% | 0% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leverstock Green | AFC Dunstable |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 70.2% | 30.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Leverstock Green or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leverstock Green = 2.20 (league 1.71), AFC Dunstable = 0.92 (league 1.56)
| AFC Dunstable | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leverstock Green | 0 | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 14.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1