Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
The LORDS Builders Merchants Stadium
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.66)
2.09 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.6% | 20.8% | 56.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.4%
0 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Welwyn Garden City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leverstock Green | 0 | 3.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 30% | 40% |
| Defense | 50% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 18% | 7% | 12% | 27% | 42% | 35% |
| Draws | 55% | 43% | 48% | 45% | 33% | 39% |
| Loses | 27% | 50% | 40% | 27% | 25% | 26% |
Form: Leverstock Green: DLWWLDDDDDLDLDLLDDLDDLWLL • Welwyn Garden City: WDWWLWDDLLWDLDDDWWWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 14 | 24 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 18 | 29 | 47 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 87% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 56% | 52% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 32% | 17% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 16% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 33.2% | 67.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Welwyn Garden City
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leverstock Green = 1.17 (league 1.66), Welwyn Garden City = 2.09 (league 1.53)
| Welwyn Garden City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leverstock Green | 0 | 3.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 56.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1