Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 15:00 •
The LORDS Builders Merchants Stadium
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.66)
1.86 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 22.6% | 54.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Welwyn Garden City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leverstock Green | 0 | 5.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 28% | 16% |
| Defense | 64% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 16 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 18% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 38% | 30% |
| Draws | 55% | 44% | 48% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Loses | 27% | 44% | 37% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
Form: Leverstock Green: DLWWLDDDDDLDLDLLDDLDDLWLLWD • Welwyn Garden City: WLWWLWDDLLWDLDDDWWWDDDLLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 31 | 49 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 78% | 85% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 56% | 48% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 30% | 15% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 15% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leverstock Green | Welwyn Garden City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Welwyn Garden City
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leverstock Green = 1.08 (league 1.66), Welwyn Garden City = 1.86 (league 1.55)
| Welwyn Garden City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leverstock Green | 0 | 5.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 54.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1