Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 •
Freed Veneers Community Stadium
Expected Goals
3.97 (league 1.66)
0.78 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.0%
4 - 0
8.9%
5 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Aylesbury United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leighton Town | 0 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 70% | 55% |
| Defense | 70% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 83% | 43% | 62% | 33% | 31% | 32% |
| Draws | 17% | 43% | 31% | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 8% | 42% | 54% | 48% |
Form: Leighton Town: WWWDDWWWWWDDWWWDDWWLLWWDWD • Aylesbury United: DLWLDWLLLLWLLDDLWWLWDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 27 | 63 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 18 | 27 | 16 | 28 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 65% | 64% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 27% | 52% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 4% | 24% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 4% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-6 | 6-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leighton Town | Aylesbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Leighton Town and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leighton Town = 3.97 (league 1.66), Aylesbury United = 0.78 (league 1.53)
| Aylesbury United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leighton Town | 0 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 6.5% · Away win 3.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1