Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
The Creek
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.71)
1.19 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 31.0% | 50.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.2%
0 - 0
17.0%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Winchester City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 17.0% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 41% | 71% |
| Defense | 35% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 20% | 100% | 50% | 80% |
| Draws | 100% | 25% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Bristol Manor Farm: WLDLD • Winchester City: WLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 80% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 60% | 60% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 27.7% | 72.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Winchester City
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bristol Manor Farm = 0.58 (league 1.71), Winchester City = 1.19 (league 1.26)
| Winchester City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 17.0% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 50.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1