Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
MoreSeaFood Ground
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.71)
6.37 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1% | 2.2% | 35.4% |
best score tips
1 - 5
5.4%
0 - 5
4.7%
1 - 4
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Malvern Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brixham | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brixham | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 47% | 65% |
| Defense | 35% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brixham | Malvern Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 33% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 67% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Brixham: LLWWLL • Malvern Town: WWWDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Brixham | Malvern Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 3.5 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brixham | Malvern Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 88% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 50% | 38% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brixham | Malvern Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brixham | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brixham | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brixham | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Malvern Town and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Brixham = 1.17 (league 1.71), Malvern Town = 6.37 (league 1.26)
| Malvern Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brixham | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.1% · Draw 2.2% · Away win 35.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1