Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 •
Charters Community Stadium
Expected Goals
3.15 (league 1.71)
0.28 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.7% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
16.1%
4 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Melksham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Winchester City | 0 | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Winchester City | Melksham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 58% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Winchester City | Melksham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 60% | 75% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 25% | 20% | 75% | 44% |
Form: Winchester City: WLWWWWWL • Melksham Town: DDDLLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Winchester City | Melksham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Winchester City | Melksham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 75% | 44% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 13% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 13% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 13% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Winchester City | Melksham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Winchester City | Melksham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Winchester City | Melksham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Winchester City | Melksham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 73.2% | 26.8% |
Advice: Winner : Winchester City
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Winchester City = 3.15 (league 1.71), Melksham Town = 0.28 (league 1.26)
| Melksham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Winchester City | 0 | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.7% · Draw 6.8% · Away win 1.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1