Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 19:45 • Oakfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.79) 0.96 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 28.0% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Supermarine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melksham Town 0 10.4% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelksham TownSwindon Supermarine
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack35%47%
Defense41%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melksham Town Swindon Supermarine
HATHAT
Played67138614
Wins33%0%15%50%17%36%
Draws50%29%38%0%33%14%
Loses17%71%46%50%50%50%

Form: Melksham Town: WDDLLLWLDDDLL • Swindon Supermarine: WLWLLLDWDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Melksham Town Swindon Supermarine
HATHAT
GF total1151616622
GF avg1.80.71.22.01.01.6
GA total7142114822
GA avg1.22.01.61.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelksham TownSwindon Supermarine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%79%71%
1.531%54%43%50%
2.58%23%29%36%
3.58%8%7%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelksham TownSwindon Supermarine
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricMelksham TownSwindon Supermarine
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelksham TownSwindon Supermarine
Wins11
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—3-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-33-1
Goals For5242
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricMelksham TownSwindon Supermarine
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : Melksham Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melksham Town = 1.31 (league 1.79), Swindon Supermarine = 0.96 (league 1.25)

Swindon Supermarine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melksham Town 0 10.4% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 27.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1