Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 19:45 •
Oakfield Stadium
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.73)
0.94 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.9% | 27.7% | 26.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Swindon Supermarine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melksham Town | 0 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 35% | 53% |
| Defense | 47% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 57% | 17% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 42% | 0% | 33% | 15% |
| Loses | 17% | 67% | 42% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
Form: Melksham Town: WDDLLLWLDDDL • Swindon Supermarine: WLWLLLDWDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 85% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 46% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 17% | 31% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melksham Town | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Supermarine
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Melksham Town = 1.35 (league 1.73), Swindon Supermarine = 0.94 (league 1.27)
| Swindon Supermarine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melksham Town | 0 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 26.1%
Vtot 2 , Vtod2