Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 •
4ED Hartpury Stadium with Vodafone
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.78)
1.11 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.7% | 21.3% | 20.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Swindon Supermarine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartpury University | 0 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 57% | 20% | 35% | 44% | 25% | 35% |
| Draws | 14% | 20% | 18% | 0% | 38% | 18% |
| Loses | 29% | 60% | 47% | 56% | 38% | 47% |
Form: Hartpury University: LWDWWLLWLWLLLWDDL • Swindon Supermarine: WLWLLLDWDWLWLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 13 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 3.6 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 71% | 76% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 47% | 41% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 18% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hartpury University | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Hartpury University or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hartpury University = 2.02 (league 1.78), Swindon Supermarine = 1.11 (league 1.26)
| Swindon Supermarine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartpury University | 0 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 20.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1