Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Oakfield Stadium
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.79)
1.68 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.9% | 24.0% | 46.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Larkhall Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melksham Town | 0 | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 100% |
| Defense | 73% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 18% | 17% | 17% | 50% | 27% | 39% |
| Draws | 55% | 25% | 39% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 27% | 58% | 43% | 17% | 73% | 43% |
Form: Melksham Town: DDDLLLWLDDDLLLLLLWWDDDW • Larkhall Athletic: LLLWDLWLDWWLWWLLWLDLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 23 | 21 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 74% | 78% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 52% | 65% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 26% | 43% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 13% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melksham Town | Larkhall Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Larkhall Athletic
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Melksham Town = 1.28 (league 1.79), Larkhall Athletic = 1.68 (league 1.25)
| Larkhall Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melksham Town | 0 | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 46.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1