Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 • Charters Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.79) 1.60 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 22.5% 33.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Malvern Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Winchester City 0 3.3% 5.3% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.0% 9.6% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWinchester CityMalvern Town
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack36%82%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.618 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Winchester City Malvern Town
HATHAT
Played151328151328
Wins67%54%61%80%62%71%
Draws27%23%25%0%15%7%
Loses7%23%14%20%23%21%

Form: Winchester City: WLWWWWWLDDDDWWWWWLWWDWWWLWDD • Malvern Town: WWWDWLWLWWLLWWWWLWWWWWDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Winchester City Malvern Town
HATHAT
GF total342458472673
GF avg2.31.82.13.12.02.6
GA total151530251843
GA avg1.01.21.11.71.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWinchester CityMalvern Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%71%100%79%
1.571%21%68%39%
2.532%11%50%14%
3.511%4%25%11%
4.50%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWinchester CityMalvern Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets538336
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricWinchester CityMalvern Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWinchester CityMalvern Town
Wins55
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-47-21-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-64-1
Goals For4474
Goals Against3464

Model comparison

MetricWinchester CityMalvern Town
Form40%60%
Att31%69%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Malvern Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Winchester City = 1.80 (league 1.79), Malvern Town = 1.60 (league 1.25)

Malvern Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Winchester City 0 3.3% 5.3% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.0% 9.6% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 33.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1