Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 •
The Creek
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.79)
1.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.2% | 28.4% | 38.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Swindon Supermarine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 32% | 27% |
| Defense | 36% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| Wins | 38% | 8% | 24% | 45% | 14% | 28% |
| Draws | 31% | 8% | 20% | 0% | 36% | 20% |
| Loses | 31% | 83% | 56% | 55% | 50% | 52% |
Form: Bristol Manor Farm: LLDLWLLLLDWDLWLLWWLWDDLLL • Swindon Supermarine: WLWLLLDWDWLWLLWDLLLLLDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 19 | 37 | 56 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 88% | 76% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | 40% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 52% | 16% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 3-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 26% | 74% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 36.6% | 63.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Supermarine
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bristol Manor Farm = 1.10 (league 1.79), Swindon Supermarine = 1.20 (league 1.25)
| Swindon Supermarine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 38.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1