Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Oakfield Stadium
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.81)
2.32 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1% | 17.3% | 68.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.0%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Winchester City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melksham Town | 0 | 4.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melksham Town | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 40% |
| Attack | 42% | 58% |
| Defense | 8% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melksham Town | Winchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 13 | 28 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| Wins | 13% | 15% | 14% | 63% | 54% | 59% |
| Draws | 47% | 23% | 36% | 31% | 23% | 28% |
| Loses | 40% | 62% | 50% | 6% | 23% | 14% |
Form: Melksham Town: DDDLLLWLDDDLLLLLLWWDDDWLLLLD • Winchester City: WLWWWWWLDDDDWWWWWLWWDWWWLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Melksham Town | Winchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 24 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 24 | 25 | 49 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melksham Town | Winchester City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 75% | 93% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 57% | 69% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 25% | 31% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 14% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melksham Town | Winchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melksham Town | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melksham Town | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melksham Town | Winchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 30.2% | 69.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Winchester City
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Melksham Town = 0.79 (league 1.81), Winchester City = 2.32 (league 1.24)
| Winchester City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melksham Town | 0 | 4.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 68.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1