Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 09:00 • Yangon United Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.74) 2.72 (league 1.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 15.5% 25.7%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.3%
3 - 3
4.8%
2 - 2
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sagaing United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thitsar Arman 0 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
2 1.2% 3.4% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5%
5 0.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThitsar ArmanSagaing United
Played43
Form33%44%
Attack16%20%
Defense72%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.85 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thitsar Arman Sagaing United
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins50%0%25%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%25%50%0%33%
Loses50%50%50%0%100%33%

Form: Thitsar Arman: LDLW • Sagaing United: LDW

League goals

Metric Thitsar Arman Sagaing United
HATHAT
GF total404325
GF avg2.00.01.01.52.01.7
GA total527235
GA avg2.51.01.81.03.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThitsar ArmanSagaing United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%67%67%
1.550%50%67%67%
2.50%25%33%33%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThitsar ArmanSagaing United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricThitsar ArmanSagaing United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricThitsar ArmanSagaing United
Wins00
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-2—
Biggest losses2-42-0—3-2
Goals For2032
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricThitsar ArmanSagaing United
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sagaing United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away2.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.78 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Unibet
No3.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Thitsar Arman = 3.44 (league 1.74), Sagaing United = 2.72 (league 1.84)

Sagaing United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thitsar Arman 0 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
2 1.2% 3.4% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5%
5 0.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 25.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1