Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 09:00 •
Thuwunna Stadium
Expected Goals
3.00 (league 1.76)
0.49 (league 1.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.5% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.7%
2 - 0
13.7%
4 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sagaing United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dagon | 0 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dagon | Sagaing United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 52% | 24% |
| Defense | 52% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dagon | Sagaing United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Dagon: WWWDDL • Sagaing United: LDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Dagon | Sagaing United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dagon | Sagaing United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dagon | Sagaing United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dagon | Sagaing United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dagon | Sagaing United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-5 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dagon | Sagaing United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Winner : Dagon
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Dagon = 3.00 (league 1.76), Sagaing United = 0.49 (league 1.85)
| Sagaing United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dagon | 0 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 9.5% · Away win 3.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1