Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 17:00 • LF Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.89) 0.49 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 18.8% 8.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
IFK Luleå
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piteå 0 8.4% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPiteåIFK Luleå
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack63%63%
Defense79%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Piteå IFK Luleå
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%100%88%75%25%50%
Draws25%0%13%0%25%13%
Loses0%0%0%25%50%38%

Form: Piteå: WWWWWWWD • IFK Luleå: LLDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Piteå IFK Luleå
HATHAT
GF total10122211415
GF avg2.53.02.82.81.01.9
GA total3257613
GA avg0.80.50.61.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePiteåIFK Luleå
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%88%75%
1.588%13%50%50%
2.563%0%38%13%
3.513%0%13%13%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPiteåIFK Luleå
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricPiteåIFK Luleå
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPiteåIFK Luleå
Wins71
Draws01
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-01-2
Biggest losses1-52-0
Goals For3542
Goals Against2152

Model comparison

MetricPiteåIFK Luleå
Form52%48%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Piteå or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet
Away5.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betano
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Piteå = 1.99 (league 1.89), IFK Luleå = 0.49 (league 1.65)

IFK Luleå
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piteå 0 8.4% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1