Bergnäsets vs Lucksta

Division 2 - Play-offs — Sweden

Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:00 • JIABvallen

Match Finished

Bergnäsets

1 - 2

Lucksta

Expected Goals

2.12 (league 1.89) 3.09 (league 1.65)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
23.6%	16.4%	48.7%

best score tips

2 - 3

6.0%

2 - 2

5.8%

1 - 3

5.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Lucksta
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Bergnäsets	0	0.5%	1.7%	2.6%	2.7%	2.1%	1.3%
	1	1.2%	3.6%	5.5%	5.7%	4.4%	2.7%
	2	1.2%	3.8%	5.8%	6.0%	4.7%	2.9%
	3	0.9%	2.7%	4.1%	4.3%	3.3%	2.0%
	4	0.5%	1.4%	2.2%	2.3%	1.7%	1.1%
	5	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%	1.0%	0.7%	0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Bergnäsets	Lucksta
Played	5	5
Form	27%	20%
Attack	50%	50%
Defense	19%	31%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	13 \| 2.6	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

84%

FT probability

3.5+

60%

FT probability

BTTS

86%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Bergnäsets			Lucksta
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	4	7	4	2	6
Wins	67%	0%	29%	25%	50%	33%
Draws	0%	25%	14%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	33%	75%	57%	75%	50%	67%

Form: Bergnäsets: WLLLWDL • Lucksta: WWLLLL

League goals

Metric	Bergnäsets			Lucksta
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	7	13	4	6	10
GF avg	2.0	1.8	1.9	1.0	3.0	1.7
GA total	5	12	17	8	4	12
GA avg	1.7	3.0	2.4	2.0	2.0	2.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Bergnäsets		Lucksta
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	86%	86%	83%	100%
1.5	71%	86%	50%	50%
2.5	14%	43%	17%	50%
3.5	14%	14%	17%	0%
4.5	0%	14%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Bergnäsets			Lucksta
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	0	0	0
Failed to score	1	0	1	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	Bergnäsets	Lucksta
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Bergnäsets	Lucksta
Wins	1	2
Draws	1	0
Losses	3	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-2	—	2-1	1-4
Biggest losses	0-3	5-2	1-3	3-2
Goals For	4	2	2	4
Goals Against	3	5	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Bergnäsets	Lucksta
Form	57%	43%
Att	50%	50%
Def	46%	54%
Poisson Distribution	43%	57%
H2h	67%	33%
Goals	57%	43%
Total	53.3%	46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bergnäsets or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Marathonbet

Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle

Away2.93 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Marathonbet

No2.85 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-09-20T09:42:14+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.09
Draw	3.62
Away	2.82

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.36
Draw	2.81
Away	2.96

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.34
Away -1.25	1.25
Home -1	3.04
Away -1	1.31
Home -0.75	2.43
Away -0.75	1.48
Home -0.25	1.86
Away -0.25	1.84
Home +0	1.62
Away +0	2.17
Home +0.25	1.47
Away +0.25	2.50
Home +0.75	1.26
Away +0.75	3.42
Home -2	6.70
Away -2	1.05
Home +1	1.13
Away +1	4.75
Home +2	1.01
Away +2	8.30
Home -1.5	3.74
Away -1.5	1.20
Home +1.5	1.08
Away +1.5	5.50
Home -2.5	7.50
Away -2.5	1.03

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.0	1.12
Under 2.0	4.75
Over 2.25	1.25
Under 2.25	3.28
Over 2.5	1.38
Under 2.5	2.62
Over 2.75	1.46
Under 2.75	2.38
Over 3.5	2.03
Under 3.5	1.69
Over 3.0	1.59
Under 3.0	2.10
Over 4.5	3.28
Under 4.5	1.25
Over 3.25	1.79
Under 3.25	1.83
Over 3.75	2.26
Under 3.75	1.51
Over 4.0	2.70
Under 4.0	1.36
Over 4.25	2.97
Under 4.25	1.30
Over 5.0	5.30
Under 5.0	1.09

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.08
Under 1.5	1.67
Over 2.0	3.42
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 1.0	1.41
Under 1.0	2.61

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.60
Under 1.5	2.14
Over 2.0	2.17
Under 2.0	1.62
Over 2.5	2.89
Under 2.5	1.34
Over 1.0	1.16
Under 1.0	4.33

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.36
No	2.79

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.74
Away -1	1.59
Draw -1	4.30
Home +1	1.33
Draw +1	5.05
Away +1	5.50

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.33
Home/Away	1.21
Draw/Away	1.59

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.60
Draw	2.33
Away	3.30

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.74
Draw	19.25
Away	2.04

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.75
Draw	19.25
Away	2.03

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.66
Under 1.5	2.04
Over 1	1.18
Under 1	4.00
Over 2	2.31
Under 2	1.50

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.94
Under 1.5	1.73
Over 1	1.32
Under 1	2.92
Over 2	3.12
Under 2	1.28

Pinnacle Updated: 2025-09-20T09:42:14+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.08
Draw	3.73
Away	2.81

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.73
Away -1.25	1.37
Home -1	2.81
Away -1	1.36
Home -0.75	2.33
Away -0.75	1.52
Home -0.5	2.06
Away -0.5	1.69
Home -0.25	1.85
Away -0.25	1.88
Home +0	1.61
Away +0	2.19
Home +0.25	1.47
Away +0.25	2.46
Home +0.5	1.38
Away +0.5	2.74

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.38
Under 2.5	2.70
Over 2.75	1.45
Under 2.75	2.51
Over 3.5	1.97
Under 3.5	1.78
Over 3.0	1.56
Under 3.0	2.25
Over 3.25	1.76
Under 3.25	1.96
Over 3.75	2.19
Under 3.75	1.61
Over 4.0	2.53
Under 4.0	1.44
Over 4.25	2.79
Under 4.25	1.37

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.98
Under 1.5	1.76
Over 1.75	2.33
Under 1.75	1.53
Over 2.0	3.05
Under 2.0	1.31
Over 1.0	1.34
Under 1.0	2.87
Over 1.25	1.66
Under 1.25	2.08

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.64
Under 1.5	2.13

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.90
Under 1.5	1.81

1xBet Updated: 2025-09-20T09:42:14+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.08
Draw	3.62
Away	2.93

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.35
Draw	2.82
Away	3.07

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.28
Away -1.25	1.26
Home -1	2.98
Away -1	1.32
Home -0.75	2.41
Away -0.75	1.49
Home -0.25	1.85
Away -0.25	1.85
Home +0	1.60
Away +0	2.19
Home +0.25	1.46
Away +0.25	2.53
Home +0.75	1.25
Away +0.75	3.48
Home -3	7.40
Away -3	1.06
Home -2	6.55
Away -2	1.05
Home +1	1.13
Away +1	4.90
Home -1.75	4.20
Away -1.75	1.19
Home -1.5	3.60
Away -1.5	1.21
Home +1.25	1.19
Away +1.25	4.10
Home +1.5	1.08
Away +1.5	5.65
Home -2.5	7.30
Away -2.5	1.03
Home +2.5	1.03
Away +2.5	9.10
Home -3.5	8.50
Away -3.5	1.05

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.12
Under 1.5	5.40
Over 2.0	1.12
Under 2.0	4.75
Over 2.25	1.25
Under 2.25	3.28
Over 2.5	1.38
Under 2.5	2.62
Over 2.75	1.46
Under 2.75	2.38
Over 3.5	2.03
Under 3.5	1.69
Over 0.5	1.01
Under 0.5	14.00
Over 1.0	1.02
Under 1.0	11.00
Over 3.0	1.59
Under 3.0	2.10
Over 4.5	3.28
Under 4.5	1.25
Over 3.25	1.79
Under 3.25	1.83
Over 3.75	2.26
Under 3.75	1.51
Over 4.0	2.70
Under 4.0	1.36
Over 4.25	2.97
Under 4.25	1.30
Over 4.75	3.60
Under 4.75	1.24
Over 5.0	5.30
Under 5.0	1.09
Over 5.5	6.00
Under 5.5	1.11

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.08
Under 1.5	1.67
Over 1.75	2.49
Under 1.75	1.46
Over 2.0	3.42
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 2.5	4.00
Under 2.5	1.21
Over 3.5	9.30
Under 3.5	1.03
Over 0.5	1.19
Under 0.5	4.20
Over 1.0	1.41
Under 1.0	2.61
Over 1.25	1.75
Under 1.25	1.95
Over 4.5	34.00

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.60
Under 1.5	2.14
Over 1.75	1.80
Under 1.75	1.89
Over 2.0	2.17
Under 2.0	1.62
Over 2.25	2.54
Under 2.25	1.44
Over 2.5	2.89
Under 2.5	1.34
Over 0.5	1.09
Under 0.5	6.10
Over 1.0	1.17
Under 1.0	4.50
Over 1.25	1.39
Under 1.25	2.73
Over 3.0	4.85
Under 3.0	1.13

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	14.50
Home/Away	20.00
Draw/Away	7.70
Draw/Draw	6.80
Home/Home	3.20
Draw/Home	6.00
Away/Home	16.50
Away/Draw	14.50
Away/Away	4.60

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.36
No	2.85

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	10.00
2:0	11.00
2:1	7.00
3:0	15.00
3:1	11.00
3:2	13.00
4:0	34.00
4:1	21.00
0:0	14.00
1:1	7.00
2:2	8.50
0:1	13.00
0:2	15.00
0:3	31.00
1:2	9.00
1:3	17.00
2:3	15.00
3:3	21.00
0:4	75.00
1:4	41.00
2:4	41.00
4:2	26.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	60.00
5:0	90.00
5:1	55.00
5:2	75.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	50.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	4.10
1st Half	2.99
2nd Half	1.87

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.40
2:0	9.70
2:1	13.00
3:0	43.00
3:1	70.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	4.20
1:1	6.00
2:2	20.00
0:1	5.20
0:2	13.00
0:3	80.00
1:2	15.00
1:3	100.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 62 — Correct Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.00
2:0	9.20
2:1	11.00
3:0	30.00
3:1	39.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	6.10
1:1	5.80
2:2	25.00
0:1	6.00
0:2	13.00
0:3	55.00
1:2	13.00
1:3	55.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.32
Home/Away	1.21
Draw/Away	1.61

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.59
Draw	2.33
Away	3.46

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.70
Under 1.5	2.02
Over 2.5	2.75
Under 2.5	1.40
Over 3.5	4.90
Under 3.5	1.14
Over 1	1.25
Under 1	3.55
Over 2	2.20
Under 2	1.60
Over 3	4.30
Under 3	1.18
Over 0.5	1.11
Under 0.5	5.50

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.05
Under 1.5	1.68
Over 2.5	4.10
Under 2.5	1.20
Over 3.5	8.90
Under 3.5	1.03
Over 1	1.40
Under 1	2.70
Over 2	3.20
Under 2	1.30
Over 0.5	1.19
Under 0.5	4.15

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Bergnäsets vs Lucksta

Expected goals (λ): Bergnäsets = 2.12 (league 1.89), Lucksta = 3.09 (league 1.65)

		Lucksta
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Bergnäsets	0	0.5%	1.7%	2.6%	2.7%	2.1%	1.3%
	1	1.2%	3.6%	5.5%	5.7%	4.4%	2.7%
	2	1.2%	3.8%	5.8%	6.0%	4.7%	2.9%
	3	0.9%	2.7%	4.1%	4.3%	3.3%	2.0%
	4	0.5%	1.4%	2.2%	2.3%	1.7%	1.1%
	5	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%	1.0%	0.7%	0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 48.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Bergnäsets	Lucksta
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0