Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urukundo
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.48)
0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.8% | 27.9% | 23.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Rukinzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 11.2% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ngozi City | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 0% |
| Attack | 7% | 7% |
| Defense | 87% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ngozi City | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Ngozi City: DL • Rukinzo: LL
League goals
| Metric | Ngozi City | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ngozi City | Rukinzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ngozi City | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ngozi City | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ngozi City | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ngozi City | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 44.4% | 55.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Ngozi City or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 1.36 (league 1.48), Rukinzo = 0.83 (league 1.20)
| Rukinzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 11.2% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 23.0%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1