Ligue A — Burundi
Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urunani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.49) 1.83 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 20.9% 68.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 2
16.2%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muzinga 0 9.7% 17.7% 16.2% 9.9% 4.5% 1.7%
1 4.9% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMuzingaAigle Noir
Played44
Form83%100%
Attack50%100%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.315 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Muzinga Aigle Noir
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%100%100%100%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Muzinga: WDWW • Aigle Noir: WWWW

League goals

Metric Muzinga Aigle Noir
HATHAT
GF total3256915
GF avg1.51.01.33.04.53.8
GA total112112
GA avg0.50.50.50.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMuzingaAigle Noir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%50%
1.525%0%100%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMuzingaAigle Noir
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMuzingaAigle Noir
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMuzingaAigle Noir
Wins14
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-11-7
Biggest losses————
Goals For2147
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricMuzingaAigle Noir
Form45%55%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Winner : Aigle Noir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Muzinga = 0.50 (league 1.49), Aigle Noir = 1.83 (league 1.23)

Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muzinga 0 9.7% 17.7% 16.2% 9.9% 4.5% 1.7%
1 4.9% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 68.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1