Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Peace Park Progress
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.49) 0.41 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 27.0% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
0 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Olympic Star
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aigle Noir 0 16.2% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 9.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAigle NoirOlympic Star
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%40%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aigle Noir Olympic Star
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%75%83%67%33%50%
Draws0%25%17%0%67%33%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%17%

Form: Aigle Noir: WWWWDW • Olympic Star: DWWWDL

League goals

Metric Aigle Noir Olympic Star
HATHAT
GF total61218235
GF avg3.03.03.00.71.00.8
GA total134123
GA avg0.50.80.70.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAigle NoirOlympic Star
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%67%50%
1.583%17%17%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAigle NoirOlympic Star
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricAigle NoirOlympic Star
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAigle NoirOlympic Star
Wins43
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-71-01-2
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For4712
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricAigle NoirOlympic Star
Form57%43%
Att80%20%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Winner : Aigle Noir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aigle Noir = 1.41 (league 1.49), Olympic Star = 0.41 (league 1.23)

Olympic Star
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aigle Noir 0 16.2% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 9.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1