Ligue A — Burundi
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urunani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.49) 2.08 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.5% 19.2% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.3%
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ngozi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Garage Express 0 6.2% 12.9% 13.3% 9.2% 4.8% 2.0%
1 4.4% 9.1% 9.4% 6.5% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGarage ExpressNgozi City
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack25%50%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Garage Express Ngozi City
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%0%20%0%50%20%
Draws0%0%0%67%0%40%
Loses67%100%80%33%50%40%

Form: Garage Express: LWLLL • Ngozi City: DLLWD

League goals

Metric Garage Express Ngozi City
HATHAT
GF total202134
GF avg0.70.00.40.31.50.8
GA total5611437
GA avg1.73.02.21.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGarage ExpressNgozi City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.520%80%40%80%
1.520%60%20%40%
2.50%40%20%20%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGarage ExpressNgozi City
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricGarage ExpressNgozi City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGarage ExpressNgozi City
Wins11
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——2-3
Biggest losses0-35-00-31-0
Goals For2013
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricGarage ExpressNgozi City
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.8%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ngozi City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Garage Express = 0.71 (league 1.49), Ngozi City = 2.08 (league 1.23)

Ngozi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Garage Express 0 6.2% 12.9% 13.3% 9.2% 4.8% 2.0%
1 4.4% 9.1% 9.4% 6.5% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 67.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1