Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Ingoma
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.45)
1.16 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4% | 29.8% | 40.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Musongati | 0 | 12.4% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 33% |
| Defense | 42% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 67% | 40% |
Form: Musongati: LWWDL • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Musongati | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Musongati or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Musongati = 0.93 (league 1.45), Le Messager Ngozi = 1.16 (league 1.21)
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Musongati | 0 | 12.4% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 40.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1