Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Ingoma
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.44) 1.52 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 24.7% 40.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flambeau du Centre 0 5.5% 8.3% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlambeau du CentreAigle Noir
Played45
Form100%87%
Attack43%81%
Defense95%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.317 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flambeau du Centre Aigle Noir
HATHAT
Played224235
Wins100%100%100%100%67%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Flambeau du Centre: WWWW • Aigle Noir: WWWWD

League goals

Metric Flambeau du Centre Aigle Noir
HATHAT
GF total45961117
GF avg2.02.52.33.03.73.4
GA total101134
GA avg0.50.00.30.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlambeau du CentreAigle Noir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%100%60%
1.5100%0%100%20%
2.525%0%40%0%
3.50%0%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlambeau du CentreAigle Noir
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFlambeau du CentreAigle Noir
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlambeau du CentreAigle Noir
Wins44
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-11-7
Biggest losses————
Goals For2347
Goals Against1012

Model comparison

MetricFlambeau du CentreAigle Noir
Form48%52%
Att35%65%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Flambeau du Centre or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Flambeau du Centre = 1.39 (league 1.44), Aigle Noir = 1.52 (league 1.22)

Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flambeau du Centre 0 5.5% 8.3% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1