Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urukundo
Match Finished

Le Messager Ngozi

0 - 1

Rukinzo

Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.49) 1.59 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.4% 23.5% 68.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.2%
0 - 2
18.4%
0 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rukinzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 14.6% 23.2% 18.4% 9.7% 3.9% 1.2%
1 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziRukinzo
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack14%29%
Defense62%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Rukinzo
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins50%0%17%33%33%33%
Draws50%25%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%75%50%67%67%67%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDL • Rukinzo: LLWWLL

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Rukinzo
HATHAT
GF total134347
GF avg0.50.80.71.01.31.2
GA total099336
GA avg0.02.31.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziRukinzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.50%33%33%33%
2.50%33%17%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziRukinzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziRukinzo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziRukinzo
Wins12
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-00-3
Biggest losses—4-11-22-1
Goals For1123
Goals Against0422

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziRukinzo
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total32.4%67.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rukinzo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Le Messager Ngozi vs Rukinzo

Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.34 (league 1.49), Rukinzo = 1.59 (league 1.23)

Rukinzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 14.6% 23.2% 18.4% 9.7% 3.9% 1.2%
1 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 68.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1