Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 11:00 •
Stade Urunani
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.48)
0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.9% | 32.2% | 28.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ngozi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muzinga | 0 | 15.8% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Muzinga | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 70% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Muzinga | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Muzinga: WDWWDLD • Ngozi City: DLLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Muzinga | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Muzinga | Ngozi City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 43% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Muzinga | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Muzinga | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Muzinga | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Muzinga | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Advice: No predictions available
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Muzinga = 1.02 (league 1.48), Ngozi City = 0.83 (league 1.20)
| Ngozi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muzinga | 0 | 15.8% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 28.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1