Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 16:30 •
Stade Peace Park Progress
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.45)
0.86 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5% | 18.0% | 12.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Musongati | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aigle Noir | 0 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Musongati |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 58% |
| Defense | 58% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Musongati | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 100% | 86% | 92% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 8% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
Form: Aigle Noir: WWWWDWWWWWWWW • Musongati: LWWDLWWWDDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Musongati | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 17 | 37 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aigle Noir | Musongati | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 62% | 79% | 36% |
| 1.5 | 77% | 15% | 36% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Musongati | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Musongati |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Musongati |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-2 | 1-7 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aigle Noir | Musongati |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 90% | 10% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Aigle Noir or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aigle Noir = 2.28 (league 1.45), Musongati = 0.86 (league 1.21)
| Musongati | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aigle Noir | 0 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.5% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 12.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1