Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urunani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.45) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 28.0% 36.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bumamuru 0 9.5% 11.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBumamuruAigle Noir
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense63%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bumamuru Aigle Noir
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins86%86%86%86%86%86%
Draws0%14%7%14%14%14%
Loses14%0%7%0%0%0%

Form: Bumamuru: WWDWWWWLWWWWWW • Aigle Noir: WWWWDWWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Bumamuru Aigle Noir
HATHAT
GF total171431211738
GF avg2.42.02.23.02.42.7
GA total4376511
GA avg0.60.40.50.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBumamuruAigle Noir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%50%100%64%
1.571%0%71%14%
2.529%0%29%0%
3.521%0%21%0%
4.57%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBumamuruAigle Noir
HATHAT
Clean sheets347235
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricBumamuruAigle Noir
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBumamuruAigle Noir
Wins48
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-48-21-7
Biggest losses0-1———
Goals For5487
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricBumamuruAigle Noir
Form54%46%
Att38%63%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total44.0%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aigle Noir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bumamuru = 1.16 (league 1.45), Aigle Noir = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Aigle Noir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bumamuru 0 9.5% 11.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 36.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1