Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urukundo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.15 (league 1.45) 1.18 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.7% 31.3% 63.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
31.1%
0 - 0
26.4%
0 - 2
18.4%
Score & goals probability table
Flambeau du Centre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 26.4% 31.1% 18.4% 7.2% 2.1% 0.5%
1 4.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNgozi CityFlambeau du Centre
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack50%75%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ngozi City Flambeau du Centre
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%29%29%75%67%71%
Draws29%43%36%0%33%14%
Loses43%29%36%25%0%14%

Form: Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDWLLLWD • Flambeau du Centre: WWWWLWDWWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Ngozi City Flambeau du Centre
HATHAT
GF total851313821
GF avg1.10.70.91.61.31.5
GA total8715617
GA avg1.11.01.10.80.20.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNgozi CityFlambeau du Centre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%79%43%
1.514%36%50%7%
2.514%14%21%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNgozi CityFlambeau du Centre
HATHAT
Clean sheets336358
Failed to score246213

Penalties

MetricNgozi CityFlambeau du Centre
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNgozi CityFlambeau du Centre
Wins15
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-1—
Goals For4333
Goals Against3321

Model comparison

MetricNgozi CityFlambeau du Centre
Form29%71%
Att40%60%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h25%75%
Goals23%77%
Total24.3%75.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Flambeau du Centre and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 0.15 (league 1.45), Flambeau du Centre = 1.18 (league 1.21)

Flambeau du Centre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 26.4% 31.1% 18.4% 7.2% 2.1% 0.5%
1 4.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 63.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1