Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urukundo
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.48)
0.20 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.4% | 69.7% | 14.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
67.0%
1 - 0
13.6%
0 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Kayanza United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0 | 67.0% | 13.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 21% | 36% |
| Defense | 50% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLW • Kayanza United: WDLDDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 25% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 52.3% | 48.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Le Messager Ngozi or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.20 (league 1.48), Kayanza United = 0.20 (league 1.22)
| Kayanza United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0 | 67.0% | 13.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.4% · Draw 69.7% · Away win 14.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1