Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Ingoma
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.45)
1.07 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 33.9% | 52.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.9%
0 - 0
23.2%
0 - 2
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Rukinzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Musongati | 0 | 23.2% | 24.9% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Musongati | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 40% | 47% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Musongati | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Musongati: LWWDLWW • Rukinzo: LLWWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Musongati | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Musongati | Rukinzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 29% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Musongati | Rukinzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Musongati | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Musongati | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Musongati | Rukinzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Musongati or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Musongati = 0.39 (league 1.45), Rukinzo = 1.07 (league 1.21)
| Rukinzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Musongati | 0 | 23.2% | 24.9% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 52.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1