Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urunani
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.49)
0.20 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.3% | 19.2% | 3.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ngozi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bumamuru | 0 | 13.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.0% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bumamuru | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 75% | 35% |
| Defense | 90% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bumamuru | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 86% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 14% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: Bumamuru: WWDWWWW • Ngozi City: DLLWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Bumamuru | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bumamuru | Ngozi City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 43% | 38% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bumamuru | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bumamuru | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bumamuru | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bumamuru | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Winner : Bumamuru
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bumamuru = 1.77 (league 1.49), Ngozi City = 0.20 (league 1.23)
| Ngozi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bumamuru | 0 | 13.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.0% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.3% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 3.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1