Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urunani
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.49) 1.47 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.5% 26.4% 59.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Garage Express 0 13.5% 19.8% 14.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.3% 10.6% 7.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGarage ExpressLe Messager Ngozi
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack5%20%
Defense30%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Garage Express Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins20%0%11%25%20%22%
Draws20%0%11%25%20%22%
Loses60%100%78%50%60%56%

Form: Garage Express: LWLLLDLLL • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Garage Express Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
GF total213358
GF avg0.40.30.30.81.00.9
GA total9112041014
GA avg1.82.82.21.02.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGarage ExpressLe Messager Ngozi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.522%78%67%78%
1.511%56%22%33%
2.50%44%0%33%
3.50%33%0%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGarage ExpressLe Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score437213

Penalties

MetricGarage ExpressLe Messager Ngozi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGarage ExpressLe Messager Ngozi
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-01-2
Biggest losses0-45-02-34-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricGarage ExpressLe Messager Ngozi
Form20%80%
Att20%80%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total24.3%75.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Le Messager Ngozi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Garage Express = 0.54 (league 1.49), Le Messager Ngozi = 1.47 (league 1.23)

Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Garage Express 0 13.5% 19.8% 14.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.3% 10.6% 7.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.5% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 59.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1