Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urukundo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.45) 0.83 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.9% 25.6% 20.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dynamik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 9.3% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.9% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack42%50%
Defense42%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Dynamik
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins25%17%20%17%0%10%
Draws25%33%30%0%25%10%
Loses50%50%50%83%75%80%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLD • Dynamik: LLLLLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Dynamik
HATHAT
GF total369448
GF avg0.81.00.90.71.00.8
GA total41115151126
GA avg1.01.81.52.52.82.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziDynamik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%60%90%
1.520%30%20%80%
2.50%30%0%40%
3.50%10%0%20%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Wins10
Draws11
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-0—
Biggest losses2-34-11-74-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against3474

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Le Messager Ngozi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 1.55 (league 1.45), Dynamik = 0.83 (league 1.21)

Dynamik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 9.3% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.9% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1