Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urukundo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.48) 0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.0% 26.0% 20.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dynamik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 9.5% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack42%50%
Defense42%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Dynamik
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins25%17%20%17%0%10%
Draws25%33%30%0%25%10%
Loses50%50%50%83%75%80%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLD • Dynamik: LLLLLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Dynamik
HATHAT
GF total369448
GF avg0.81.00.90.71.00.8
GA total41115151126
GA avg1.01.81.52.52.82.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziDynamik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%60%90%
1.520%30%20%80%
2.50%30%0%40%
3.50%10%0%20%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Wins10
Draws11
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-0—
Biggest losses2-34-11-74-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against3474

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziDynamik
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Le Messager Ngozi or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 1.52 (league 1.48), Dynamik = 0.83 (league 1.20)

Dynamik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 9.5% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 20.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1