Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urukundo
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.48)
2.49 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 15.1% | 72.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.7%
0 - 3
10.5%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Aigle Noir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 4.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 100% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 100% | 75% | 88% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 44% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDW • Aigle Noir: WWWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 44% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 75% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ngozi City | Aigle Noir |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 27.0% | 73.0% |
Advice: Winner : Aigle Noir
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 0.70 (league 1.48), Aigle Noir = 2.49 (league 1.20)
| Aigle Noir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 4.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 72.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1