Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urunani
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.48)
0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.3% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.7%
4 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bumamuru | 0 | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 91% | 36% |
| Defense | 82% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 83% | 80% | 82% | 17% | 14% | 15% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 9% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 9% | 50% | 57% | 54% |
Form: Bumamuru: WWDWWWWLWWW • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 45% | 62% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 0% | 15% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bumamuru | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
Advice: Winner : Bumamuru
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bumamuru = 3.22 (league 1.48), Le Messager Ngozi = 0.42 (league 1.20)
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bumamuru | 0 | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.3% · Draw 7.5% · Away win 2.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1