Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urukundo
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.46)
0.97 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.3% | 30.5% | 32.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Royal Vision | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 13.1% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ngozi City | Royal Vision |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 16% | 11% |
| Defense | 63% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ngozi City | Royal Vision | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 17% | 33% | 25% | 67% | 43% | 54% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 57% | 46% |
Form: Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDWLLL • Royal Vision: WLWLWWWWWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Ngozi City | Royal Vision | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ngozi City | Royal Vision | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 58% | 62% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 42% | 38% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 31% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ngozi City | Royal Vision | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ngozi City | Royal Vision |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ngozi City | Royal Vision |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ngozi City | Royal Vision |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ngozi City or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 1.07 (league 1.46), Royal Vision = 0.97 (league 1.21)
| Royal Vision | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 13.1% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 32.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1