Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urukundo
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.45)
0.46 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8% | 52.0% | 28.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.6%
0 - 1
20.6%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ngozi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0 | 44.6% | 20.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 25% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 17% | 13% | 14% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 50% | 63% | 57% | 43% | 33% | 38% |
Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLL • Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 15 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 79% | 54% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 36% | 15% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 21% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Ngozi City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ngozi City and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.35 (league 1.45), Ngozi City = 0.46 (league 1.21)
| Ngozi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0 | 44.6% | 20.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 52.0% · Away win 28.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1