Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:20 • Al-Shabab Club Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.65) 0.70 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 30.2% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
NEOM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Riyadh 0 14.7% 10.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl RiyadhNEOM
Played33
Form33%67%
Attack20%20%
Defense47%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 2.72 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Riyadh NEOM
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%0%33%100%50%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%67%0%50%33%

Form: Al Riyadh: LWL • NEOM: LWW

League goals

Metric Al Riyadh NEOM
HATHAT
GF total213123
GF avg2.00.51.01.01.01.0
GA total178022
GA avg1.03.52.70.01.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl RiyadhNEOM
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%67%
1.533%67%33%0%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl RiyadhNEOM
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricAl RiyadhNEOM
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAl RiyadhNEOM
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-01-2
Biggest losses—5-1—1-0
Goals For2112
Goals Against1501

Model comparison

MetricAl RiyadhNEOM
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NEOM

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away1.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Riyadh = 1.21 (league 1.65), NEOM = 0.70 (league 1.42)

NEOM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Riyadh 0 14.7% 10.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1