Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 19:00 • Al-Najma Club Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.66) 3.27 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.7% 9.4% 74.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.0%
0 - 2
10.1%
0 - 4
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Najma 0 1.9% 6.2% 10.1% 11.0% 9.0% 5.9%
1 1.3% 4.3% 7.1% 7.7% 6.3% 4.1%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl NajmaAl-Nassr
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack25%75%
Defense38%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Najma Al-Nassr
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins10%0%5%91%73%82%
Draws30%17%23%0%9%5%
Loses60%83%73%9%18%14%

Form: Al Najma: LLLLLLLLDLLDLLDDLDLLWL • Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLLLWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Al Najma Al-Nassr
HATHAT
GF total13821322557
GF avg1.30.71.02.92.32.6
GA total20264681018
GA avg2.02.22.10.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl NajmaAl-Nassr
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%91%100%50%
1.523%59%82%23%
2.55%36%41%9%
3.50%18%23%0%
4.50%5%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl NajmaAl-Nassr
HATHAT
Clean sheets0225611
Failed to score257000

Penalties

MetricAl NajmaAl-Nassr
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricAl NajmaAl-Nassr
Wins110
Draws21
Losses83

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-10-5
Biggest losses2-45-11-23-1
Goals For3255
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricAl NajmaAl-Nassr
Form21%79%
Att25%75%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total21.7%78.3%

Advice: Winner : Al-Nassr

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home20.00 @ Betano
Draw10.81 @ Pinnacle
Away1.14 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.29 @ Betano
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Najma = 0.70 (league 1.66), Al-Nassr = 3.27 (league 1.41)

Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Najma 0 1.9% 6.2% 10.1% 11.0% 9.0% 5.9%
1 1.3% 4.3% 7.1% 7.7% 6.3% 4.1%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 74.5%

vtt 4 , vtd1