Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 17:30 •
King Abdullah Sports City
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.63)
2.52 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9% | 11.3% | 81.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
19.1%
0 - 3
16.0%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Nassr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 6.0% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 60% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 60% | 20% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Al-Ahli Jeddah: WDDWDWDWWL • Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 60% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 9% | 91% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 29.8% | 70.2% |
Advice: Winner : Al-Nassr
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Ahli Jeddah = 0.29 (league 1.63), Al-Nassr = 2.52 (league 1.43)
| Al-Nassr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 6.0% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.9% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 81.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1