Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 15:05 • SHG Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.67) 1.19 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 22.1% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Al Najma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shabab 0 4.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.1% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl ShababAl Najma
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack37%42%
Defense37%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Shabab Al Najma
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins29%0%13%0%0%0%
Draws29%38%33%29%13%20%
Loses43%63%53%71%88%80%

Form: Al Shabab: LWDLDDLDDLLLLWL • Al Najma: LLLLLLLLDLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Al Shabab Al Najma
HATHAT
GF total104149716
GF avg1.40.50.91.30.91.1
GA total131225151833
GA avg1.91.51.72.12.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl ShababAl Najma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%73%93%
1.520%53%27%67%
2.57%20%7%33%
3.50%7%0%20%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl ShababAl Najma
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score055224

Penalties

MetricAl ShababAl Najma
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricAl ShababAl Najma
Wins10
Draws21
Losses48

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2———
Biggest losses1-42-02-45-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricAl ShababAl Najma
Form60%40%
Att47%53%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Al Shabab or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.82 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Shabab = 1.93 (league 1.67), Al Najma = 1.19 (league 1.43)

Al Najma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shabab 0 4.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.1% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 7 , vtd2