Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 17:30 • Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.66) 2.39 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.7% 14.9% 74.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 1
12.7%
0 - 3
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Damac 0 5.3% 12.7% 15.1% 12.1% 7.2% 3.4%
1 2.9% 6.9% 8.3% 6.6% 3.9% 1.9%
2 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDamacAl-Nassr
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack16%47%
Defense58%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Damac Al-Nassr
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins0%13%7%88%57%73%
Draws57%50%53%0%14%7%
Loses43%38%40%13%29%20%

Form: Damac: DLLLLDDDDDWLLDD • Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLLLW

League goals

Metric Damac Al-Nassr
HATHAT
GF total5712251742
GF avg0.70.90.83.12.42.8
GA total1016268917
GA avg1.42.01.71.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDamacAl-Nassr
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%100%67%
1.50%40%87%33%
2.50%20%47%13%
3.50%13%27%0%
4.50%7%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDamacAl-Nassr
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricDamacAl-Nassr
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricDamacAl-Nassr
Wins110
Draws51
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-15-10-5
Biggest losses1-36-11-23-1
Goals For1155
Goals Against3623

Model comparison

MetricDamacAl-Nassr
Form56%44%
Att25%75%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h0%100%
Goals21%79%
Total36.4%63.6%

Advice: Winner : Al-Nassr

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home15.00 @ 10Bet
Draw8.50 @ Betfair
Away1.23 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Superbet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Damac = 0.55 (league 1.66), Al-Nassr = 2.39 (league 1.41)

Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Damac 0 5.3% 12.7% 15.1% 12.1% 7.2% 3.4%
1 2.9% 6.9% 8.3% 6.6% 3.9% 1.9%
2 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 74.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1