Wed, Jan 28 2026 • 15:20 •
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.62)
1.48 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.3% | 19.6% | 23.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Riyadh | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Najma | 0 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 20% |
| Attack | 64% | 55% |
| Defense | 0% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Riyadh | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 12% |
| Draws | 25% | 22% | 24% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 75% | 78% | 76% | 44% | 75% | 59% |
Al NajmaLLLLLLLLDLLDLLDDL
Al RiyadhLWLLLWDDLLLLDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Riyadh | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 18 | 36 | 14 | 23 | 37 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Najma | Al Riyadh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 88% | 82% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 65% | 18% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 35% | 0% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Riyadh | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.90 @ Betfair
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.51 @ SBO
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…