Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 17:30 • Al-Awwal Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.66) 1.53 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 18.9% 22.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.0%
3 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Ittihad FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Nassr 0 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.6% 7.0% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.0% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack77%46%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Nassr Al-Ittihad FC
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins89%70%79%60%44%53%
Draws0%10%5%0%44%21%
Loses11%20%16%40%11%26%

Form: Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLLLWWWWW • Al-Ittihad FC: WWWLDLDLWWWWWDLLWDW

League goals

Metric Al-Nassr Al-Ittihad FC
HATHAT
GF total262349122234
GF avg2.92.32.61.22.41.8
GA total81018101323
GA avg0.91.00.91.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%58%79%74%
1.579%26%47%37%
2.542%11%26%5%
3.521%0%21%5%
4.516%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets358325
Failed to score000404

Penalties

MetricAl-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricAl-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
Wins105
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-54-20-4
Biggest losses1-23-10-22-1
Goals For5545
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAl-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
Form68%32%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total58.7%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Nassr or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 188Bet
Draw4.45 @ Betano
Away4.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.80 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Nassr = 2.45 (league 1.66), Al-Ittihad FC = 1.53 (league 1.41)

Al-Ittihad FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Nassr 0 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.6% 7.0% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.0% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 6 , vtd1