Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 19:00 • King Abdullah Sports City
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.66) 0.38 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.4% 10.2% 3.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Al Najma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 6.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahAl Najma
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack100%33%
Defense83%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Ahli Jeddah Al Najma
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins73%70%71%10%0%5%
Draws27%20%24%30%18%24%
Loses0%10%5%60%82%71%

Form: Al-Ahli Jeddah: WDDWDWDWWLWWWWWWWWDWW • Al Najma: LLLLLLLLDLLDLLDDLDLLW

League goals

Metric Al-Ahli Jeddah Al Najma
HATHAT
GF total25154013720
GF avg2.31.51.91.30.61.0
GA total10414202242
GA avg0.90.40.72.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-Ahli JeddahAl Najma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%43%67%90%
1.552%19%24%57%
2.529%5%5%33%
3.514%0%0%14%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahAl Najma
HATHAT
Clean sheets4812022
Failed to score022257

Penalties

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahAl Najma
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahAl Najma
Wins80
Draws22
Losses18

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-52-1—
Biggest losses—2-12-45-1
Goals For4532
Goals Against3245

Model comparison

MetricAl-Ahli JeddahAl Najma
Form76%24%
Att78%22%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total80.8%19.3%

Advice: Winner : Al-Ahli Jeddah

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Bwin
Draw12.40 @ Pinnacle
Away29.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ Betano
Under 2.53.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bwin
No1.69 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Ahli Jeddah = 2.77 (league 1.66), Al Najma = 0.38 (league 1.41)

Al Najma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 6.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.4% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 3.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1