Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 19:00 • Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.66) 0.83 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 28.0% 23.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Fateh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ettifaq 0 11.3% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-EttifaqAl-Fateh
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack42%33%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Ettifaq Al-Fateh
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins45%50%48%36%20%29%
Draws36%10%24%18%40%29%
Loses18%40%29%45%40%43%

Form: Al-Ettifaq: WDLWLLDDWWDWWLWDWLWWL • Al-Fateh: LLDLLWDLLWWWWWDLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Al-Ettifaq Al-Fateh
HATHAT
GF total15153017926
GF avg1.41.51.41.50.91.2
GA total141832211637
GA avg1.31.81.51.91.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-EttifaqAl-Fateh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%67%81%81%
1.548%48%38%43%
2.514%19%5%19%
3.55%14%0%19%
4.50%5%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-EttifaqAl-Fateh
HATHAT
Clean sheets527134
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricAl-EttifaqAl-Fateh
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAl-EttifaqAl-Fateh
Wins25
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-54-02-55-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against5455

Model comparison

MetricAl-EttifaqAl-Fateh
Form75%25%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%62%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Ettifaq or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Ettifaq = 1.35 (league 1.66), Al-Fateh = 0.83 (league 1.41)

Al-Fateh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ettifaq 0 11.3% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 23.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1