Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 19:00 • King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.66) 1.77 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.7% 22.4% 64.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 2
14.3%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Fayha 0 9.1% 16.1% 14.3% 8.4% 3.7% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.1% 8.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-FayhaAl-Nassr
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack50%88%
Defense63%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Fayha Al-Nassr
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins36%25%30%91%75%83%
Draws45%8%26%0%8%4%
Loses18%67%43%9%17%13%

Form: Al-Fayha: WLDWDLLWLDLLDLDLWWLWLWD • Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLLLWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Al-Fayha Al-Nassr
HATHAT
GF total141327323062
GF avg1.31.11.22.92.52.7
GA total11273881018
GA avg1.02.31.70.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-FayhaAl-Nassr
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%78%100%48%
1.535%43%83%22%
2.513%22%43%9%
3.50%13%26%0%
4.50%9%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-FayhaAl-Nassr
HATHAT
Clean sheets5055712
Failed to score347000

Penalties

MetricAl-FayhaAl-Nassr
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricAl-FayhaAl-Nassr
Wins210
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-10-5
Biggest losses0-55-01-23-1
Goals For3355
Goals Against5523

Model comparison

MetricAl-FayhaAl-Nassr
Form32%68%
Att36%64%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%100%
Goals18%82%
Total28.5%71.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Nassr

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.00 @ 10Bet
Draw6.50 @ Betfair
Away1.26 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Fayha = 0.63 (league 1.66), Al-Nassr = 1.77 (league 1.41)

Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Fayha 0 9.1% 16.1% 14.3% 8.4% 3.7% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.1% 8.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 64.0%

vtt 5 , vtd1