Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 18:00 • Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.66) 0.89 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 34.2% 35.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.5%
0 - 1
16.5%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Al Shabab
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Riyadh 0 18.5% 16.5% 7.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl RiyadhAl Shabab
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack43%86%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Riyadh Al Shabab
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins23%8%15%38%15%27%
Draws31%23%27%23%38%31%
Loses46%69%58%38%46%42%

Form: Al Riyadh: LWLLLWDDLLLLDLLDDDLLDWLLLW • Al Shabab: LWDLDDLDDLLLLWLDDWWLLWWLDW

League goals

Metric Al Riyadh Al Shabab
HATHAT
GF total141125211233
GF avg1.10.81.01.60.91.3
GA total183149241539
GA avg1.42.41.91.81.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl RiyadhAl Shabab
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%92%69%73%
1.519%50%35%38%
2.54%31%19%19%
3.50%12%4%12%
4.50%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl RiyadhAl Shabab
HATHAT
Clean sheets112437
Failed to score347178

Penalties

MetricAl RiyadhAl Shabab
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total110

Streaks

MetricAl RiyadhAl Shabab
Wins12
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-10-4
Biggest losses1-35-12-52-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3553

Model comparison

MetricAl RiyadhAl Shabab
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals21%79%
Total37.8%62.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Shabab

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Riyadh = 0.80 (league 1.66), Al Shabab = 0.89 (league 1.41)

Al Shabab
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Riyadh 0 18.5% 16.5% 7.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 35.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1